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Red59
49228.8
94812.3
9498.7
Blue73
292819.0
592018.4
131816.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555530405060705973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#6
28.80.5
29.129.6
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End10.7
red by 9.8
19.01.4
18.519.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End11.6
Second
948
#11
12.30.5
11.812.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.5
End7.8
blue by 6.1
18.41.4
17.819.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.4
End6.4
Third
949
#17
8.70.5
6.97.4
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End3.2
blue by 8.0
1318
#15
16.71.4
16.117.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned