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Red97
214731.5
291055.9
99994.1
Blue111
491138.4
36036.5
241214.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9010205015020097111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.90.3
54.354.5
Auto16.7
Teleop28.1
End11.1
red by 17.5
38.40.7
40.240.9
Auto8.3
Teleop23.5
End6.6
Second
2147
#13
31.50.3
31.031.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.0
End8.1
blue by 4.9
360
#2
36.50.7
38.238.9
Auto12.6
Teleop22.2
End1.7
Third
9999
#20
4.10.3
3.94.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.5
blue by 10.6
2412
#16
14.70.7
14.114.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed