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Red8
55267.4
54304.7
41609.5
Blue44
441453.6
50123.5
24045.2
1%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187604060100120844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4160
#26
9.51.1
9.07.9
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.1
blue by 44.2
53.61.3
47.946.5
Auto15.6
Teleop30.7
End7.3
Second
5526
#31
7.41.2
8.06.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End1.9
red by 2.2
2404
#34
5.22.2
8.66.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Third
5430
#32
4.71.1
7.26.1
Auto4.7
Teleop0.9
End-0.9
red by 1.2
5012
#28
3.51.3
7.56.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed74%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned