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Red10
698912.9
401410.8
581822.2
Blue46
258422.9
96810.4
58698.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3836102030506070801046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.7
10.28.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End6.6
blue by 0.8
2584
#14
22.90.8
17.218.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.7
Second
6989
#29
12.91.7
9.27.5
Auto3.9
Teleop2.9
End6.2
red by 2.5
968
#27
10.40.8
7.88.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End0.5
Third
4014
#23
10.81.9
15.813.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End5.3
red by 2.3
5869
#24
8.50.8
9.210.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned