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Red41
50123.5
242926.3
581822.2
Blue31
9819.5
58698.5
265821.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50360204060804131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2429
#11
26.30.6
25.124.4
Auto8.7
Teleop6.7
End10.9
red by 5.1
2658
#16
21.20.4
16.316.0
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End7.4
Second
22.20.6
12.111.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.3
End6.6
red by 12.6
981
#35
9.50.5
9.28.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.5
End4.0
Third
5012
#28
3.50.6
7.87.2
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End-0.1
blue by 5.0
5869
#24
8.50.4
9.89.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsMissed