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Red110
519940.4
39916.8
330929.6
Blue60
630513.2
606021.0
153833.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8975406010012014011060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.41.6
38.640.3
Auto6.9
Teleop22.9
End10.5
red by 7.2
33.11.1
33.832.8
Auto11.2
Teleop17.1
End4.9
Second
29.61.6
27.329.0
Auto9.1
Teleop11.6
End9.0
red by 8.6
21.01.2
22.721.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.8
End9.3
Third
399
#10
16.81.6
15.817.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.1
End5.2
red by 3.6
6305
#15
13.21.1
15.514.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
63%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsMissed