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Red36
41609.5
386327.4
50123.5
Blue35
60725.2
258422.9
401410.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474102060801003635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#19
27.40.5
29.228.7
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End9.0
red by 4.5
2584
#14
22.90.3
22.922.6
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.7
Second
4160
#26
9.50.5
9.99.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.5
End2.1
blue by 1.4
4014
#23
10.80.3
11.010.7
Auto4.1
Teleop1.4
End5.3
Third
5012
#28
3.50.5
4.03.5
Auto1.9
Teleop1.6
End-0.1
blue by 1.7
6072
#33
5.20.3
5.55.2
Auto2.7
Teleop0.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsEarned44%Hangar oddsMissed