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Red61
263730.8
395212.1
432216.8
Blue96
330925.5
512422.0
347642.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5611601001502006196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#21
30.80.5
29.629.1
Auto10.4
Teleop13.5
End6.9
blue by 11.5
42.30.3
45.745.3
Auto13.4
Teleop20.8
End8.1
Second
4322
#26
16.80.5
18.317.8
Auto7.8
Teleop5.1
End4.0
blue by 8.6
25.50.3
27.927.6
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End7.6
Third
3952
#31
12.10.5
12.512.0
Auto3.6
Teleop0.3
End8.2
blue by 9.8
22.00.3
27.527.2
Auto7.7
Teleop7.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
53%Hangar oddsMissed89%Hangar oddsEarned