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Red36
427613.2
5997.6
68716.7
Blue89
265918.5
325528.3
69113.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30690204060801001201401603689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#35
16.70.2
9.69.8
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End4.0
blue by 11.6
3255
#16
28.31.4
30.832.2
Auto8.9
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Second
4276
#27
13.20.2
13.413.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End1.3
blue by 5.3
2659
#14
18.51.4
11.813.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End6.2
Third
599
#15
7.60.2
9.910.1
Auto2.3
Teleop2.3
End3.0
blue by 6.2
691
#28
13.81.4
17.018.5
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsEarned