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Red95
69647.1
622018.1
116019.9
Blue82
347642.3
41419.6
69113.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75754050607080901009582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#6
47.11.7
40.542.1
Auto13.3
Teleop25.7
End8.2
red by 4.8
42.30.5
45.345.8
Auto13.4
Teleop20.8
End8.1
Second
1160
#11
19.91.7
18.119.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End4.0
red by 6.1
691
#28
13.80.5
18.518.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Third
6220
#13
18.11.7
11.413.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.0
End3.1
red by 8.4
4141
#29
9.60.5
7.27.7
Auto5.8
Teleop2.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsEarned