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Red81
364728.2
263730.8
347317.1
Blue78
265819.6
113816.2
59717.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86640501001508178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#21
30.80.2
29.129.3
Auto10.4
Teleop13.5
End6.9
red by 11.2
2658
#36
19.60.7
18.419.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Second
3647
#19
28.20.2
31.531.7
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End2.9
red by 10.9
597
#25
17.20.7
26.427.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End3.1
Third
3473
#20
17.10.2
17.217.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End8.0
red by 0.9
1138
#38
16.20.7
18.218.9
Auto6.6
Teleop4.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsMissed48%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
42%Hangar oddsEarned69%Hangar oddsEarned