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Red57
412310.2
744713.4
656029.9
Blue92
119729.4
212235.1
40797.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63880501001502002505792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.3
35.935.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End10.0
blue by 5.2
2122
#22
35.10.8
39.740.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Second
7447
#30
13.40.3
13.813.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 16.0
1197
#17
29.40.8
31.932.7
Auto9.9
Teleop17.5
End2.0
Third
4123
#33
10.20.3
12.612.2
Auto5.5
Teleop2.5
End2.2
red by 2.3
4079
#39
7.90.8
8.29.0
Auto4.8
Teleop0.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed60%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsMissed