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Red45
395212.1
41419.6
656029.9
Blue83
364728.2
744713.4
704223.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547801001502002504583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.6
35.635.0
Auto7.2
Teleop12.7
End10.0
red by 1.8
3647
#19
28.20.6
32.032.6
Auto10.8
Teleop14.4
End2.9
Second
3952
#31
12.10.6
10.710.1
Auto3.6
Teleop0.3
End8.2
blue by 11.6
7042
#12
23.70.6
24.525.1
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End11.3
Third
4141
#29
9.60.6
7.77.1
Auto5.8
Teleop2.1
End1.7
blue by 3.8
7447
#30
13.40.6
13.414.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsMissed