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Red75
116019.9
69113.8
519943.9
Blue54
72306.1
585714.7
312829.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885602040801001201401607554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.5
41.340.7
Auto8.3
Teleop23.1
End12.4
red by 14.1
3128
#10
29.81.0
32.131.1
Auto8.5
Teleop8.6
End12.6
Second
1160
#11
19.90.5
21.721.1
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End4.0
red by 5.2
5857
#32
14.71.0
16.215.2
Auto7.2
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Third
691
#28
13.80.5
15.915.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.4
red by 7.7
7230
#42
6.11.0
8.77.7
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
75%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned