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Red50
432216.8
60725.3
113816.2
Blue59
699534.2
183610.5
69647.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331010501505059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4322
#26
16.80.2
17.317.5
Auto7.8
Teleop5.1
End4.0
blue by 30.3
696
#6
47.11.8
42.540.6
Auto13.3
Teleop25.7
End8.2
Second
1138
#38
16.20.2
19.019.2
Auto6.6
Teleop4.4
End5.2
blue by 18.0
34.21.8
29.227.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End12.1
Third
6072
#41
5.30.2
3.23.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End2.2
blue by 5.2
1836
#34
10.51.8
15.013.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsMissed