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Red65
40797.9
347642.3
263730.8
Blue117
420135.2
427613.2
715747.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610505015020025030035065117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.31.5
45.744.2
Auto13.4
Teleop20.8
End8.1
blue by 5.4
47.71.4
45.246.5
Auto10.9
Teleop31.6
End5.1
Second
2637
#21
30.81.5
28.727.2
Auto10.4
Teleop13.5
End6.9
blue by 4.4
4201
#23
35.21.4
38.539.9
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End3.3
Third
4079
#39
7.91.5
9.07.5
Auto4.8
Teleop0.4
End2.8
blue by 5.3
4276
#27
13.21.4
12.614.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsEarned