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Red64
80069.1
420135.2
263730.8
Blue69
704223.7
499917.5
116019.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875502040801001201401606469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#23
35.20.9
39.338.4
Auto11.5
Teleop20.4
End3.3
red by 11.5
7042
#12
23.70.1
22.022.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End11.3
Second
2637
#21
30.80.9
27.326.4
Auto10.4
Teleop13.5
End6.9
red by 10.9
1160
#11
19.90.1
19.920.0
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End4.0
Third
8006
#37
9.10.9
11.110.1
Auto4.2
Teleop1.7
End3.2
blue by 8.4
4999
#18
17.50.1
13.813.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned