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Red50
347317.1
41419.6
473817.8
Blue40
395212.1
40797.9
183610.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48310204060801005040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#24
17.80.5
17.017.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 5.7
3952
#31
12.10.6
11.211.8
Auto3.6
Teleop0.3
End8.2
Second
3473
#20
17.10.5
19.720.1
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End8.0
red by 6.6
1836
#34
10.50.6
12.312.9
Auto3.3
Teleop2.1
End5.2
Third
4141
#29
9.60.5
6.46.9
Auto5.8
Teleop2.1
End1.7
red by 1.7
4079
#39
7.90.6
7.88.4
Auto4.8
Teleop0.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed1%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned34%Hangar oddsMissed