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Red65
59717.2
212235.1
330925.5
Blue52
69113.8
585714.7
113816.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100400501502006552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#22
35.11.4
37.135.6
Auto9.6
Teleop17.8
End7.7
red by 18.9
1138
#38
16.20.1
15.715.7
Auto6.6
Teleop4.4
End5.2
Second
25.51.4
28.126.7
Auto9.7
Teleop8.1
End7.6
red by 10.7
5857
#32
14.70.1
15.215.2
Auto7.2
Teleop4.1
End3.4
Third
597
#25
17.21.4
21.019.6
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End3.1
red by 3.5
691
#28
13.80.1
13.813.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned58%Hangar oddsMissed