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Red84
68716.7
704223.7
29422.9
Blue128
432216.8
715747.7
699534.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53111010015020084128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7042
#12
23.71.8
22.023.8
Auto7.8
Teleop4.6
End11.3
blue by 23.9
47.70.8
49.550.2
Auto10.9
Teleop31.6
End5.1
Second
294
#40
22.91.8
23.225.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.3
End-0.7
blue by 11.3
34.20.8
28.929.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.5
End12.1
Third
687
#35
16.71.8
12.113.9
Auto7.1
Teleop5.6
End4.0
blue by 0.2
4322
#26
16.80.8
18.319.0
Auto7.8
Teleop5.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned