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Red58
263730.8
499917.5
72306.1
Blue88
744713.4
60725.3
69647.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486001001505888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2637
#21
30.80.8
26.427.1
Auto10.4
Teleop13.5
End6.9
blue by 16.3
696
#6
47.12.2
40.342.5
Auto13.3
Teleop25.7
End8.2
Second
4999
#18
17.50.8
13.914.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 4.1
7447
#30
13.42.2
12.714.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
7230
#42
6.10.8
6.47.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.2
End1.8
red by 0.8
6072
#41
5.32.2
2.14.3
Auto3.1
Teleop0.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsEarned