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Red79
691815.6
741920.3
594057.2
Blue35
545818.7
70113.5
31895.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104270501507935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.8
52.251.4
Auto14.9
Teleop33.6
End8.7
red by 38.5
18.70.8
15.714.9
Auto7.4
Teleop4.4
End6.9
Second
7419
#16
20.30.8
17.917.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End10.0
red by 6.8
701
#25
13.50.8
11.310.5
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
6918
#20
15.60.8
17.516.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End5.3
red by 9.9
3189
#10
5.70.8
8.37.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed