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Red33
570017.0
385915.7
46439.7
Blue43
605911.7
19915.0
207323.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4556020801001203343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5700
#14
17.00.7
17.717.0
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End3.7
blue by 6.4
2073
#26
23.40.5
28.327.7
Auto9.2
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Second
15.70.7
13.612.9
Auto6.7
Teleop4.1
End4.8
red by 0.6
199
#19
15.00.5
12.311.7
Auto5.6
Teleop6.3
End3.2
Third
4643
#29
9.70.7
12.311.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.6
End4.5
blue by 2.1
6059
#17
11.70.5
10.610.0
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed11%Hangar oddsMissed