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Red44
75289.4
68849.6
207323.4
Blue34
691815.6
46989.4
70113.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624301001502004434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2073
#26
23.40.8
29.128.3
Auto9.2
Teleop9.6
End4.6
red by 7.8
6918
#20
15.60.6
18.117.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.4
End5.3
Second
6884
#31
9.60.8
12.611.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.2
blue by 3.9
701
#25
13.50.6
11.911.3
Auto7.0
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
7528
#18
9.40.8
14.213.4
Auto6.0
Teleop1.6
End1.8
Level
4698
#30
9.41.0
12.911.9
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
42%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsMissed