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Red59
167134.4
605911.7
66623.4
Blue33
166223.1
545818.7
54300.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453901001505933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.41.2
27.929.1
Auto11.3
Teleop15.4
End7.8
red by 11.3
23.10.3
20.019.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End9.4
Second
6059
#17
11.71.2
9.410.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.8
End1.0
blue by 7.0
18.70.3
16.015.7
Auto7.4
Teleop4.4
End6.9
Third
6662
#32
3.41.2
4.35.5
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.1
End0.7
red by 2.7
5430
#36
0.70.3
1.10.9
Auto1.1
Teleop-1.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed