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Red89
31895.7
594057.2
213534.4
Blue19
46439.7
527413.1
107224.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107610501502008919

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.20.4
52.652.2
Auto14.9
Teleop33.6
End8.7
red by 32.3
1072
#22
24.93.2
32.128.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.1
End4.7
Second
34.40.4
33.433.0
Auto11.4
Teleop10.4
End12.6
red by 21.3
5274
#27
13.13.2
15.412.2
Auto5.9
Teleop3.5
End3.8
Third
3189
#10
5.70.4
8.78.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 3.9
4643
#29
9.73.2
15.512.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.6
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsMissed57%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned61%Hangar oddsMissed