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Red32
415911.6
30457.8
76614.5
Blue58
281322.4
25310.0
196710.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326502040801001201403258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
#19
14.50.9
15.214.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.5
End8.7
blue by 7.9
22.41.0
28.827.8
Auto7.8
Teleop6.7
End7.9
Second
4159
#31
11.60.9
12.511.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End0.9
red by 1.3
1967
#21
10.31.0
16.115.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.1
End2.3
Third
7.80.9
6.55.5
Auto4.0
Teleop1.5
End2.3
blue by 2.2
253
#16
10.01.0
11.910.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsMissed