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Red25
264310.4
418613.3
10010.8
Blue44
502621.1
879312.4
24739.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4646102030405060702544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4186
#15
13.31.1
15.714.6
Auto7.9
Teleop3.7
End1.8
blue by 7.8
21.10.4
21.320.9
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.5
Second
100
#26
10.81.1
12.711.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.1
End6.4
blue by 1.6
8793
#12
12.40.4
12.011.7
Auto6.3
Teleop2.5
End3.6
Third
2643
#18
10.41.4
12.911.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End2.1
red by 1.2
2473
#36
9.20.4
12.111.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsMissed