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Red131
167864.9
25464.1
545813.4
Blue105
715740.5
97351.7
527414.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15810850200250131105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.3
64.964.6
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.1
red by 13.3
973
#2
51.70.2
52.051.8
Auto11.5
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
254
#1
64.10.3
64.163.8
Auto14.5
Teleop36.3
End13.4
red by 23.7
40.50.2
40.840.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End5.9
Third
5458
#35
13.40.3
13.313.0
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End3.1
blue by 1.5
5274
#17
14.90.3
15.215.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End4.0