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Red160
167864.9
25464.1
545813.4
Blue111
715740.5
97351.7
527414.9
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15810750200160111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.3
64.664.9
Auto13.6
Teleop39.2
End12.1
red by 13.3
973
#2
51.70.1
51.851.7
Auto11.5
Teleop32.0
End8.2
Second
254
#1
64.10.4
63.864.1
Auto14.5
Teleop36.3
End13.4
red by 23.7
40.50.1
40.640.5
Auto10.2
Teleop24.3
End5.9
Third
5458
#35
13.40.4
13.013.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End3.1
blue by 1.5
5274
#17
14.90.1
15.014.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End4.0