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Red45
49049.1
527414.9
116023.1
Blue66
228813.9
366914.4
803326.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45340204060801004566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#12
23.10.3
16.916.7
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End4.5
blue by 3.5
26.63.6
13.917.5
Auto6.7
Teleop18.8
End1.2
Second
5274
#17
14.90.5
11.410.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End4.0
red by 0.5
3669
#11
14.43.6
8.512.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End8.2
Third
4904
#36
9.10.5
12.712.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End0.5
blue by 4.8
2288
#25
13.92.2
11.213.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed14%Hangar oddsEarned