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Red53
804812.5
741917.2
359810.5
Blue52
572810.6
66626.2
541923.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44360204060805352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#13
17.21.4
13.815.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.3
End6.5
blue by 6.6
23.80.9
17.518.4
Auto8.5
Teleop6.8
End8.5
Second
8048
#16
12.51.4
12.714.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.1
End0.3
red by 2.0
5728
#40
10.61.5
8.710.2
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End2.7
Third
3598
#29
10.51.4
14.115.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.4
End2.2
red by 4.3
6662
#43
6.21.5
8.39.8
Auto3.0
Teleop0.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned32%Hangar oddsMissed