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Red48
203511.4
527414.9
228813.9
Blue36
840413.7
31896.2
14586.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47310204060801004836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#17
14.90.2
16.616.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End4.0
red by 1.1
8404
#30
13.71.0
15.314.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End2.4
Second
2288
#25
13.90.1
13.913.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End4.3
red by 7.4
1458
#24
6.50.9
7.46.5
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End1.8
Third
2035
#26
11.40.2
11.611.4
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End3.7
red by 5.2
3189
#39
6.21.0
8.57.5
Auto4.5
Teleop-0.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed