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Red51
255131.9
366914.4
80918.8
Blue44
753921.6
545813.4
76611.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624802040801001205144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#10
31.90.4
32.832.4
Auto7.6
Teleop11.7
End12.6
red by 10.3
21.60.3
22.622.4
Auto6.8
Teleop4.2
End10.6
Second
3669
#11
14.40.5
14.714.3
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End8.2
red by 0.9
5458
#35
13.40.3
11.711.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.6
End3.1
Third
8091
#28
8.80.5
9.38.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.6
End2.8
blue by 3.0
766
#21
11.90.3
12.812.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned