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Red149
397033.5
594053.6
126614.0
Blue45
248520.2
753920.1
413516.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135410015014945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.8
52.653.4
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End6.6
red by 33.4
2485
#13
20.20.3
20.520.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End9.8
Second
33.50.8
32.533.3
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
red by 13.4
7539
#11
20.10.3
20.420.1
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.6
Third
1266
#20
14.00.8
13.013.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 2.8
4135
#27
16.80.3
17.116.8
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.0