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Red73
207329.6
167121.9
31899.8
Blue44
25311.9
325720.4
665714.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714602060801001201407344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.2
30.330.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.7
End6.9
red by 9.2
3257
#10
20.40.1
20.520.4
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Second
21.90.2
22.622.8
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 7.6
6657
#23
14.30.1
14.314.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
3189
#14
9.80.2
10.510.7
Auto5.1
Teleop1.9
End2.8
blue by 2.1
253
#26
11.90.1
11.911.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7