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Red40
11515.5
25311.9
661911.9
Blue34
752814.8
31899.8
527417.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47382060804034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#15
15.50.5
17.917.5
Auto5.3
Teleop7.0
End3.3
blue by 1.6
17.10.5
18.017.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End4.1
Second
6619
#12
11.90.5
12.812.3
Auto4.9
Teleop3.7
End3.2
blue by 2.9
7528
#21
14.80.5
10.910.5
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End3.1
Third
253
#26
11.90.5
12.311.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
red by 2.1
3189
#14
9.80.5
8.07.6
Auto5.1
Teleop1.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed