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Red32
671111.8
630513.6
359817.1
Blue35
753920.1
325720.4
581710.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3662020801003235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#19
17.10.4
13.112.7
Auto6.3
Teleop3.6
End7.2
blue by 3.4
3257
#10
20.41.6
14.913.3
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Second
6305
#18
13.60.6
11.310.7
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
blue by 6.5
7539
#11
20.11.6
20.919.3
Auto6.6
Teleop4.8
End8.6
Third
6711
#30
11.80.6
12.912.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.3
red by 1.8
5817
#28
10.01.6
18.917.3
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed66%Hangar oddsEarned