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Red59
325530.2
128010.1
126614.0
Blue83
207329.6
166113.4
325720.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51602040801005983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#16
30.20.1
27.227.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End5.4
red by 0.6
29.61.6
28.329.9
Auto8.0
Teleop14.7
End6.9
Second
1266
#20
14.00.1
12.312.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.8
End2.3
blue by 6.5
3257
#10
20.41.6
16.317.9
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
Third
1280
#17
10.10.1
9.69.7
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.1
blue by 3.4
1661
#22
13.41.6
10.211.8
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned14%Hangar oddsEarned