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Red50
671111.8
167121.9
25311.9
Blue43
14224.9
665714.3
413516.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4634010203040506070805043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.5
19.219.7
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 5.1
4135
#27
16.80.1
15.415.5
Auto5.9
Teleop9.9
End1.0
Second
253
#26
11.90.5
11.211.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End0.7
blue by 2.4
6657
#23
14.30.2
9.19.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End3.3
Third
6711
#30
11.80.9
11.312.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.3
red by 6.9
1422
#32
4.90.2
9.19.3
Auto3.5
Teleop-0.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
7%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed