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Red81
325720.4
351226.6
752814.8
Blue88
397033.5
671111.8
166113.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706030405080901001108188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.9
28.028.9
Auto7.1
Teleop10.2
End9.3
blue by 6.9
33.51.0
33.034.0
Auto8.6
Teleop18.3
End6.6
Second
3257
#10
20.40.9
21.122.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.6
End6.7
red by 7.0
1661
#22
13.41.0
13.114.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Third
7528
#21
14.80.9
14.915.8
Auto6.9
Teleop4.7
End3.1
red by 2.9
6711
#30
11.81.0
11.612.5
Auto2.8
Teleop6.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned24%Hangar oddsMissed