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Red138
167121.9
594053.6
325530.2
Blue61
87686.5
527417.1
630513.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1232305010015020013861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.62.4
49.652.0
Auto14.1
Teleop32.9
End6.6
red by 36.6
17.11.5
16.017.5
Auto5.9
Teleop7.1
End4.1
Second
3255
#16
30.22.4
30.933.3
Auto7.5
Teleop17.3
End5.4
red by 16.6
6305
#18
13.61.5
11.413.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Third
21.92.4
21.824.2
Auto7.2
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 15.4
8768
#29
6.51.5
6.58.1
Auto0.9
Teleop3.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed