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Red62
347317.2
508920.8
151518.6
Blue81
499913.9
59914.8
715748.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51710204060801001206281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.80.6
15.115.7
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End8.3
blue by 27.8
48.61.1
41.943.0
Auto10.0
Teleop32.1
End6.5
Second
1515
#11
18.60.5
18.018.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End6.0
red by 3.7
599
#21
14.81.1
10.611.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Third
3473
#30
17.20.5
17.217.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End6.2
red by 3.3
4999
#31
13.91.1
11.913.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsEarned