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Red46
447014.5
59724.2
29429.5
Blue70
690414.1
49644.9
420141.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535601001504670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#27
29.50.3
21.120.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.1
End2.7
blue by 12.1
41.60.9
31.332.2
Auto13.1
Teleop21.8
End6.7
Second
597
#12
24.20.3
19.419.2
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End5.1
red by 10.1
6904
#24
14.11.5
13.915.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End5.5
Third
4470
#26
14.50.5
9.89.3
Auto3.0
Teleop3.1
End8.5
red by 9.6
4964
#41
4.91.5
7.38.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned