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Red33
499913.9
5899.6
70218.8
Blue104
69641.9
512428.0
683216.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356505010015033104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
702
#16
18.80.8
11.310.4
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End6.3
blue by 23.1
696
#1
41.93.1
27.130.2
Auto9.5
Teleop22.0
End10.4
Second
4999
#31
13.90.5
13.012.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.8
End2.9
blue by 14.0
28.03.1
19.322.4
Auto8.1
Teleop10.4
End9.5
Third
589
#37
9.60.5
12.211.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
blue by 7.1
6832
#20
16.73.1
11.014.1
Auto4.7
Teleop4.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed25%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned