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Red35
80609.2
585717.7
600010.7
Blue54
56696.2
784022.3
151518.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442102030506070803554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5857
#28
17.70.9
16.215.2
Auto5.9
Teleop7.4
End4.4
blue by 4.6
7840
#17
22.31.4
14.415.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End7.7
Second
6000
#32
10.70.9
11.510.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End2.9
blue by 7.9
1515
#11
18.60.9
18.519.4
Auto4.7
Teleop7.8
End6.0
Third
8060
#38
9.20.9
11.710.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.4
red by 2.9
5669
#36
6.21.4
8.19.5
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsMissed