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Red70
427614.4
98013.7
59724.2
Blue86
508920.8
59914.8
119732.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406520801001201407086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#12
24.22.0
19.621.5
Auto5.3
Teleop13.8
End5.1
blue by 8.4
1197
#10
32.61.1
28.329.4
Auto11.9
Teleop16.2
End4.5
Second
4276
#14
14.42.0
11.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 6.3
20.81.1
16.117.2
Auto6.5
Teleop6.0
End8.3
Third
980
#34
13.72.0
9.811.8
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.0
blue by 1.1
599
#21
14.81.1
13.414.5
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed58%Hangar oddsEarned