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Red84
5899.6
715748.6
690414.1
Blue63
263728.5
6069.9
59914.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795002040601001201408463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.60.9
47.548.4
Auto10.0
Teleop32.1
End6.5
red by 20.1
28.50.8
24.125.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End8.8
Second
6904
#24
14.11.4
12.113.5
Auto5.4
Teleop3.3
End5.5
blue by 0.8
599
#21
14.80.8
12.813.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.5
End3.9
Third
589
#37
9.60.9
10.911.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End2.3
blue by 0.3
606
#33
9.91.3
13.414.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned56%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
67%Hangar oddsMissed29%Hangar oddsEarned