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Red49
29429.5
17593.0
98013.7
Blue52
427614.4
889813.1
374918.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535345505560654952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#27
29.50.3
29.228.8
Auto9.6
Teleop17.1
End2.7
red by 10.6
3749
#23
18.90.1
20.520.4
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End6.3
Second
980
#34
13.70.3
13.212.9
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.0
blue by 0.7
4276
#14
14.40.1
14.914.8
Auto4.9
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Third
1759
#42
3.00.5
7.57.0
Auto0.7
Teleop1.8
End0.5
blue by 10.1
8898
#29
13.10.2
14.214.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed