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Red48
517115.9
605911.9
11429.6
Blue42
281324.6
413513.9
650610.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060801001204842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#10
29.60.4
22.022.3
Auto4.9
Teleop12.8
End11.8
red by 5.0
2813
#11
24.60.1
15.315.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.9
End9.9
Second
5171
#18
15.90.6
10.711.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.6
End4.6
red by 2.1
4135
#22
13.90.1
10.510.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.6
End3.3
Third
6059
#21
11.90.4
5.86.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End2.6
red by 1.6
6506
#26
10.30.1
10.911.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned38%Hangar oddsMissed